Thor Akureyrivs
FH hafnarfjordur
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FH hafnarfjordur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thor Akureyri 1-0 FH hafnarfjordur
Original prediction
FH hafnarfjordur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.3% | 26.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 21.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.8% | 51.5% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
FH hafnarfjordur
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
FH hafnarfjordur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40