Thitsar Armanvs
I.S.P.E
COMPLETEDMyanmar · National League · 10/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thitsar Arman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thitsar Arman 2-3 I.S.P.E
Original prediction
Thitsar Arman
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 57.1% | 53.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 21.7% | 22.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.2% | 24.0% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Thitsar Arman
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Thitsar Arman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00