Thisted FCvs
VSK Århus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Thisted FC 0-1 VSK Århus, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Thisted FC 2-2 VSK Århus
Original prediction
VSK Århus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.5% | 14.5% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 21.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.5% | 64.2% | 22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.7 pts
Projected Score
Thisted FC 0–1 VSK Århus
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Thisted FCDLLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VSK ÅrhusLLWDD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Thisted FCVSK Århus
27.3Attack45.5
33.3Defence69.7
15.2Form54.5
28.4Power57.4
0.49xG1.81