Thisted FCvs
Roskilde
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roskilde · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thisted FC 0-2 Roskilde
Original prediction
Roskilde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.3% | 24.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.0% | 25.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.7% | 50.1% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Roskilde
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Roskilde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80