Thisted FCvs
Nykobing FC
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nykobing FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thisted FC 0-3 Nykobing FC
Original prediction
Nykobing FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 25.9% | 21.2% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 21.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.8% | 56.9% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Nykobing FC
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Nykobing FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40