GGOALVIO

Denmark · 2. Division · 8/12/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Middelfart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Thisted FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Middelfart are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Middelfart hold a 78.5-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the 2. Division, while Middelfart holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Middelfart

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thisted FCWWDWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MiddelfartWDDLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Thisted FCMiddelfart
16.7Attack100.0
16.7Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
16.3Power94.8
1.09xG1.99
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