Thisted FCvs
Brabrand
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brabrand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thisted FC 3-1 Brabrand
Original prediction
Brabrand
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.9% | 31.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 25.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.0% | 43.2% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Brabrand
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Brabrand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20