Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tsirang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Thimphu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tsirang are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.2 against 42.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Premier League, while Tsirang holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tsirang
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
13.4%
Tsirang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60