GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 5/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thimphu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Thimphu are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Bhutan U19 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Premier League, while Thimphu holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thimphu

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

11.3%

Thimphu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ThimphuLWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Bhutan U19DWWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ThimphuBhutan U19
33.3Attack54.5
48.7Defence27.3
43.6Form36.4
44.2Power40.9
1.68xG1.61
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