GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 8/9/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thimphu Raven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Thimphu Raven are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Ugyen Academy are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.50 scored and 6.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu Raven hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (21.3 v 13.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Premier League, while Thimphu Raven holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thimphu Raven

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Thimphu Raven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thimphu RavenLL

GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/3.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Ugyen AcademyLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 2.50/6.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Thimphu RavenUgyen Academy
33.3Attack23.1
0.0Defence0.0
18.5Form10.3
21.3Power13.8
2.18xG1.67
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