GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 5/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thimphu City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Thimphu City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Drukpa are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu City hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (80.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Premier League, while Thimphu City holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thimphu City

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Thimphu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thimphu CityDWDWW

GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DrukpaWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Thimphu CityDrukpa
97.0Attack66.7
78.8Defence50.0
78.8Form44.4
80.9Power53.2
3.47xG1.12
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