Thespakusatsu Gunmavs
Roasso Kumamoto
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roasso Kumamoto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto
Original prediction
Roasso Kumamoto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 29.7% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 29.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.4% | 40.5% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0–1 Roasso Kumamoto
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Roasso Kumamoto
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Roasso Kumamoto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60