Thespakusatsu Gunmavs
Kochi United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thespakusatsu Gunma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-0 Kochi United
Original prediction
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 41.9% | 42.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 26.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 29.8% | 31.2% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Thespakusatsu Gunma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40