Thespakusatsu Gunmavs
Kamatamare Sanuki
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kamatamare Sanuki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki
Original prediction
Kamatamare Sanuki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.1% | 35.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 26.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.6% | 38.0% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Kamatamare Sanuki
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Kamatamare Sanuki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20