Thes Sportvs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thes Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thes Sport 2-3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Original prediction
Thes Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.3% | 44.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 24.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.5% | 30.7% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Thes Sport
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Thes Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20