Thes Sportvs
Knokke
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Knokke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thes Sport 2-0 Knokke
Original prediction
Knokke
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.0% | 31.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.2% | 26.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 42.8% | 41.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Knokke
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Knokke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20