Thes Sportvs
Cercle Brugge II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thes Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thes Sport 2-2 Cercle Brugge II
Original prediction
Thes Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.3% | 55.9% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.7% | 22.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.0% | 21.9% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Thes Sport
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Thes Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20