The Townvs
Ventura County
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/10/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Town 1-3 Ventura County
Original prediction
The Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.4% | 39.4% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 25.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.0% | 34.9% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
The Town
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
The Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20