The Townvs
Tacoma Defiance
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Town 1-2 Tacoma Defiance
Original prediction
The Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.4% | 56.8% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 20.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 24.9% | 22.3% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
The Town
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
The Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40