The Townvs
Real Monarchs
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/14/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Town 4-0 Real Monarchs
Original prediction
The Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.9% | 54.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.2% | 22.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 21.9% | 22.7% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
The Town
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
The Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
The TownLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real MonarchsLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
The TownReal Monarchs
57.7Attack48.0
53.8Defence33.3
42.3Form33.3
50.8Power39.2
2.61xG1.21