The Townvs
Los Angeles FC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/31/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Town 3-2 Los Angeles FC II
Original prediction
The Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 53.2% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 21.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 25.7% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
The Town
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
The Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60