The Strongestvs
Universitario de Vinto
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Strongest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Strongest 5-2 Universitario de Vinto
Original prediction
The Strongest
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.2% | 49.4% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.2% | 22.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 5.80 | 15.6% | 27.7% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
The Strongest
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
The Strongest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40