The Strongestvs
Real Oruro
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Strongest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Strongest 5-0 Real Oruro
Original prediction
The Strongest
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.9% | 68.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.88 | 15.5% | 17.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 8.60 | 10.6% | 14.6% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
The Strongest
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
The Strongest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20