The Strongestvs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/20/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The Strongest 1-1 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.4% | 33.2% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 25.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.2% | 41.5% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80