GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The New Saints · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

The New Saints are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Petrocub are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 36.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while The New Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The New Saints

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The New SaintsLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PetrocubWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
The New SaintsPetrocub
0.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence50.0
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power36.3
1.39xG0.98
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