GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

The New Saints 2-1 Llandudno

Original prediction

The New Saints

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1181.1%73.1%-8.0 pts
Draw7.3912.2%15.5%3.3 pts
Away13.346.8%11.5%4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.3–09%

Predicted outcome

The New Saints

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The New SaintsWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LlandudnoDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
The New SaintsLlandudno
88.9Attack63.0
88.9Defence55.6
92.6Form59.3
88.0Power59.1
2.53xG0.94
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