The New Saintsvs
GAP Connah S Quay FC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/11/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
The New Saints are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while GAP Connah S Quay FC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Premier League, while The New Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50