The New Saintsvs
Flint Town United
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: The New Saints 3-0 Flint Town United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
The New Saints 5-0 Flint Town United
Original prediction
The New Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.6% | 74.8% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.03 | 11.2% | 14.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 14.57 | 6.2% | 10.6% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
The New Saints 3–0 Flint Town United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
74.8%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60