The New Saintsvs
Cambrian & Clydach
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 4-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The New Saints 9-0 Cambrian & Clydach
Original prediction
The New Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 84.9% | 79.2% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 9.28 | 9.8% | 11.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 16.92 | 5.4% | 8.8% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.4–19%
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
79.2%
Model confidence
79.2%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00