The New Saintsvs
Barry Town
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
The New Saints 1-0 Barry Town
Original prediction
The New Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 76.1% | 52.9% | -23.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.90 | 15.5% | 22.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 10.83 | 8.4% | 24.9% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20