The New Saintsvs
Ammanford AFC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: The New Saints 4-0 Ammanford AFC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
The New Saints 9-0 Ammanford AFC
Original prediction
The New Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 93.8% | 85.9% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 22.29 | 4.3% | 8.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 49.86 | 1.9% | 6.0% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
The New Saints 4–0 Ammanford AFC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
85.9%
Model confidence
85.9%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20