GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/28/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The Cove · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

The Cove are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Salisbury United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and The Cove hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the South Australia State League 1, while The Cove holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The Cove

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

10.3%

The Cove has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The CoveWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Salisbury UnitedLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
The CoveSalisbury United
43.9Attack40.9
45.5Defence28.8
39.4Form25.8
43.7Power34.3
2.12xG1.21
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