GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/16/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

The Cove are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Adelaide Raiders are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 70.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The CoveWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide RaidersLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
The CoveAdelaide Raiders
43.9Attack84.8
45.5Defence60.6
39.4Form71.2
43.7Power70.6
1.05xG2.81
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