The Beesvs
Gomora United FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · 1st Division · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Bees · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: The Bees 1-0 Gomora United FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
The Bees 0-1 Gomora United FC
Original prediction
The Bees
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.4% | 46.7% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.8% | 29.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.8% | 23.8% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Projected Score
The Bees 1–0 Gomora United FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
The Bees
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
The Bees has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
The BeesLLDWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gomora United FCWDLLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
The BeesGomora United FC
41.1Attack31.1
60.0Defence56.7
38.9Form36.7
47.5Power43.8
1.16xG0.68