Thap Luang Unitedvs
Rayong FC
COMPLETEDThailand · FA Cup · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rayong FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thap Luang United 1-2 Rayong FC
Original prediction
Rayong FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 17:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.14 | 17.4% | 33.7% | 16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.6% | 26.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 59.9% | 40.1% | -19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Rayong FC
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Rayong FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40