Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vietnam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Thailand are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vietnam are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vietnam hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 84.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the ASEAN Championship, while Vietnam holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vietnam
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Vietnam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60