Thailandvs
Philippines
COMPLETEDWorld · FIFA Asean Cup · 10/2/2026, 9:40:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thailand 1-2 Philippines
Original prediction
Thailand
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.6% | 54.7% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.9% | 23.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.5% | 21.8% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20