Thailandvs
Philippines
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Championship · 12/30/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Thailand are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Philippines are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thailand hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the ASEAN Championship, while Thailand holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80