Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Thailand are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Myanmar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thailand hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.5% in the ASEAN Championship, while Thailand holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40