Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Thailand are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 10.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Malaysia are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Thailand hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the ASEAN Championship, while Thailand holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 10.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00