Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Thailand are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Cambodia are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thailand hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the ASEAN Championship, while Thailand holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thailand
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Thailand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/0.67
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67