Thailand U23vs
Kyrgyz Republic U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thailand U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thailand U23 3-2 Kyrgyz Republic U23
Original prediction
Thailand U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.8% | 39.7% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.7% | 28.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.5% | 31.7% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Thailand U23
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Thailand U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60