Thai Nguyenvs
Bóng đá Huế
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 2 · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thai Nguyen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thai Nguyen 4-1 Bóng đá Huế
Original prediction
Thai Nguyen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.0% | 55.7% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 18.2% | 24.4% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 9.15 | 9.8% | 19.9% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Thai Nguyen
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Thai Nguyen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40