Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Täfteå are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Umeå FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Umeå FC hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Täfteå holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20