Täfteåvs
IFK Östersund
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Täfteå 2-1 IFK Östersund
Original prediction
Täfteå
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.8% | 46.7% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 19.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.7% | 34.3% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20