Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Täfteå are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while IFK Luleå are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Täfteå holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00