Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Täfteå 1-2 Boden
Original prediction
Täfteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.7% | 63.6% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.4% | 18.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 20.9% | 17.8% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TäfteåLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BodenLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TäfteåBoden
73.6Attack41.7
45.8Defence44.4
55.6Form43.1
56.8Power45.2
2.81xG1.24