Teuta Durrësvs
Tirana
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Teuta Durrës · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Teuta Durrës 0-0 Tirana, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Teuta Durrës 3-1 Tirana
Original prediction
Teuta Durrës
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.7% | 42.7% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.0% | 27.9% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 5.95 | 15.4% | 29.4% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Projected Score
Teuta Durrës 0–0 Tirana
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Teuta Durrës
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Teuta Durrës has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Teuta DurrësDDDLW
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
TiranaLWWWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Teuta DurrësTirana
33.3Attack51.9
67.6Defence54.6
46.3Form46.3
50.7Power52.2
0.97xG0.92