Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ohrid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Teteks 0-3 Ohrid
Original prediction
Ohrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.13 | 14.8% | 30.6% | 15.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.3% | 26.1% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.9% | 43.4% | -20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ohrid
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Ohrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TeteksWDLWW
GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OhridWWWWW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TeteksOhrid
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
68.0Power88.7
1.38xG1.41