GGOALVIO

Macedonia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bregalnica Štip · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Teteks 1-4 Bregalnica Štip

Original prediction

Bregalnica Štip

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home17.755.1%21.1%16.0 pts
Draw7.6111.9%21.1%9.2 pts
Away1.0983.0%57.8%-25.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–28%
  2. 2.1–38%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Bregalnica Štip

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

57.8%

Bregalnica Štip has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TeteksLWDLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bregalnica ŠtipLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
TeteksBregalnica Štip
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence88.9
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power73.9
1.56xG2.77
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